Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Briamasco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.30) 1.14 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 31.0% 44.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 14.9% 17.0% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrentoCittadella
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trento Cittadella
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%50%50%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Trento: WLDDLDDDWDDWWDLL • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Trento Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total911206814
GF avg1.11.41.30.81.00.9
GA total910194711
GA avg1.11.31.20.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrentoCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%50%
1.538%38%13%13%
2.513%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrentoCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score314314

Penalties

MetricTrentoCittadella
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricTrentoCittadella
Wins27
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricTrentoCittadella
Form35%65%
Att54%46%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cittadella and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trento = 0.76 (league 1.30), Cittadella = 1.14 (league 0.97)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 14.9% 17.0% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 44.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2