Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 13:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.28) 1.28 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 28.9% 47.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 12.3% 15.8% 10.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaPergolettese
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack18%27%
Defense27%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins0%25%13%13%25%19%
Draws63%25%44%25%38%31%
Loses38%50%44%63%38%50%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDD • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total611176713
GF avg0.81.41.10.80.90.8
GA total111223131023
GA avg1.41.51.41.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%44%81%
1.525%38%25%50%
2.56%19%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score314549

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaPergolettese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaPergolettese
Wins13
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaPergolettese
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pergolettese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 0.81 (league 1.28), Pergolettese = 1.28 (league 0.98)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 12.3% 15.8% 10.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 47.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1