Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.28) 2.11 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 17.4% 73.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 3
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vicenza Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 7.3% 15.5% 16.4% 11.5% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergoletteseVicenza Virtus
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack20%70%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Vicenza Virtus
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins13%22%18%100%50%76%
Draws25%44%35%0%50%24%
Loses63%33%47%0%0%0%

Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDD • Vicenza Virtus: WDWWWWWWWWDWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Vicenza Virtus
HATHAT
GF total6814211031
GF avg0.80.90.82.31.31.8
GA total1311244610
GA avg1.61.21.40.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergoletteseVicenza Virtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%82%94%53%
1.524%47%59%6%
2.512%12%18%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergoletteseVicenza Virtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123538
Failed to score549011

Penalties

MetricPergoletteseVicenza Virtus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPergoletteseVicenza Virtus
Wins38
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-1——
Goals For3352
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricPergoletteseVicenza Virtus
Form15%85%
Att22%78%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total19.2%80.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vicenza Virtus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 0.50 (league 1.28), Vicenza Virtus = 2.11 (league 0.98)

Vicenza Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 7.3% 15.5% 16.4% 11.5% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 73.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1