Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.28) 0.73 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 35.1% 28.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.1%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ospitaletto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 20.1% 14.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraOspitaletto
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Ospitaletto
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%11%17%33%11%22%
Draws56%78%67%33%44%39%
Loses22%11%17%33%44%39%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDD • Ospitaletto: LDDLLWLDWLDWLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Novara Ospitaletto
HATHAT
GF total7101710818
GF avg0.81.10.91.10.91.0
GA total7101781321
GA avg0.81.10.90.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraOspitaletto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%67%67%78%
1.522%22%28%33%
2.50%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraOspitaletto
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score325336

Penalties

MetricNovaraOspitaletto
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNovaraOspitaletto
Wins21
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-21-23-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricNovaraOspitaletto
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Novara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.05 @ Superbet
Away3.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.87 (league 1.28), Ospitaletto = 0.73 (league 0.98)

Ospitaletto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 20.1% 14.7% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 28.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1