Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:30 • Carlo Speroni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.28) 1.46 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 26.7% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 11.5% 16.8% 12.3% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaRenate
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack36%29%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Renate
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins11%11%11%22%33%28%
Draws44%22%33%33%44%39%
Loses44%67%56%44%22%33%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLL • Renate: WDWLDLLDWDLDWLWLDD

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Renate
HATHAT
GF total86148816
GF avg0.90.70.80.90.90.9
GA total14142810919
GA avg1.61.61.61.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaRenate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%78%72%67%
1.522%61%11%28%
2.56%17%6%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaRenate
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score549235

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaRenate
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaRenate
Wins11
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-33-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaRenate
Form38%63%
Att56%44%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Renate

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.70 (league 1.28), Renate = 1.46 (league 0.98)

Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 11.5% 16.8% 12.3% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1