Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.28) 1.01 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 32.8% 39.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 16.9% 17.0% 8.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.1% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGiana ErminioCittadella
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack70%50%
Defense90%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Giana Erminio Cittadella
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%22%33%44%44%44%
Draws33%56%44%33%22%28%
Loses22%22%22%22%33%28%

Form: Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDDDLDWWDWW • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Giana Erminio Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total106168816
GF avg1.10.70.90.90.90.9
GA total105156814
GA avg1.10.60.80.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGiana ErminioCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%56%72%56%
1.522%22%17%17%
2.56%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGiana ErminioCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets268448
Failed to score257325

Penalties

MetricGiana ErminioCittadella
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGiana ErminioCittadella
Wins27
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-13-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricGiana ErminioCittadella
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Giana Erminio or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.42 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Giana Erminio = 0.77 (league 1.28), Cittadella = 1.01 (league 0.98)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 16.9% 17.0% 8.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.1% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 39.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1