Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.28) 1.19 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 29.1% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaLumezzane
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack29%50%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Lumezzane
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins0%33%17%22%33%28%
Draws67%22%44%44%22%33%
Loses33%44%39%33%44%39%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDW • Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Lumezzane
HATHAT
GF total7121912820
GF avg0.81.31.11.30.91.1
GA total121224111425
GA avg1.31.31.31.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaLumezzane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%83%78%72%
1.522%33%22%39%
2.56%17%11%17%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaLumezzane
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaLumezzane
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaLumezzane
Wins12
Draws34
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-33-12-35-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaLumezzane
Form35%65%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total36.7%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lumezzane and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 1.00 (league 1.28), Lumezzane = 1.19 (league 0.98)

Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 40.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1