Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.26) 0.80 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 37.8% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 24.3% 19.5% 7.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOspitalettoLecco
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack78%33%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ospitaletto Lecco
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%20%26%70%44%58%
Draws33%40%37%10%33%21%
Loses33%40%37%20%22%21%

Form: Ospitaletto: LDDLLWLDWLDWLDLDDWW • Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDW

League goals

Metric Ospitaletto Lecco
HATHAT
GF total10112116824
GF avg1.11.11.11.60.91.3
GA total813215611
GA avg0.91.31.10.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOspitalettoLecco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%74%74%53%
1.532%32%26%5%
2.511%5%16%0%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOspitalettoLecco
HATHAT
Clean sheets325549
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricOspitalettoLecco
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricOspitalettoLecco
Wins14
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-11-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricOspitalettoLecco
Form53%47%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ospitaletto or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Superbet
Away2.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ospitaletto = 0.61 (league 1.26), Lecco = 0.80 (league 1.01)

Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 24.3% 19.5% 7.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 5 , vtd1