Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.26) 0.90 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 32.5% 33.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 16.0% 14.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaVirtus Verona
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack67%33%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Virtus Verona
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%50%47%0%33%16%
Draws33%20%26%70%22%47%
Loses22%30%26%30%44%37%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDW • Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDWD

League goals

Metric Cittadella Virtus Verona
HATHAT
GF total8101871219
GF avg0.91.00.90.71.31.0
GA total6814121224
GA avg0.70.80.71.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaVirtus Verona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%53%74%79%
1.521%16%21%32%
2.50%5%5%16%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaVirtus Verona
HATHAT
Clean sheets459224
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricCittadellaVirtus Verona
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCittadellaVirtus Verona
Wins71
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2—1-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-33-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaVirtus Verona
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cittadella or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.93 (league 1.26), Virtus Verona = 0.90 (league 1.01)

Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 16.0% 14.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1