Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:30 •
Mino Favini
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.28)
0.89 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 33.6% | 34.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
0 - 1
15.7%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Renate | 0 | 17.6% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 78% | 22% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 40% | 32% | 11% | 20% | 16% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 37% | 22% | 40% | 32% |
| Loses | 44% | 20% | 32% | 67% | 40% | 53% |
Form: Renate: WDWLDLLDWDLDWLWLDDW • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Renate | Pergolettese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 63% | 42% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 26% | 21% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Renate | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Renate or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Renate = 0.84 (league 1.28), Pergolettese = 0.89 (league 0.98)
| Pergolettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Renate | 0 | 17.6% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 34.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1