Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ernesto Breda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.26) 0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 40.5% 33.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.1%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 28.1% 19.6% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcioneCittadella
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack33%75%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcione Cittadella
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins44%45%45%50%50%50%
Draws11%18%15%30%20%25%
Loses44%36%40%20%30%25%

Form: Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWWLLWLLLW • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Alcione Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total81119121022
GF avg0.91.01.01.21.01.1
GA total69157815
GA avg0.70.80.80.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcioneCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%75%55%
1.525%10%25%15%
2.55%0%5%5%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcioneCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricAlcioneCittadella
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlcioneCittadella
Wins27
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-13-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAlcioneCittadella
Form43%57%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cittadella and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.16 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcione = 0.57 (league 1.26), Cittadella = 0.70 (league 1.01)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 28.1% 19.6% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 33.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1