Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.29) 1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 29.8% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 12.1% 12.4% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack42%42%
Defense33%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Dolomiti Bellunesi
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%10%15%40%20%30%
Draws50%80%65%30%30%30%
Loses30%10%20%30%50%40%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLD • Dolomiti Bellunesi: DDLDDLWLWLWLLDDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Novara Dolomiti Bellunesi
HATHAT
GF total7101791019
GF avg0.71.00.90.91.01.0
GA total10102062026
GA avg1.01.01.00.62.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%65%70%
1.520%25%30%40%
2.50%10%0%15%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
HATHAT
Clean sheets347516
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
Wins22
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-21-24-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricNovaraDolomiti Bellunesi
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dolomiti Bellunesi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 1.09 (league 1.29), Dolomiti Bellunesi = 1.02 (league 0.98)

Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 12.1% 12.4% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1