Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.26) 0.20 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 23.7% 4.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 17.7% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoTriestina
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack33%75%
Defense75%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Triestina
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins70%40%55%40%10%25%
Draws10%40%25%40%20%30%
Loses20%20%20%20%70%45%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDWD • Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Lecco Triestina
HATHAT
GF total1692517421
GF avg1.60.91.31.70.41.1
GA total5712111223
GA avg0.50.70.61.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%55%60%85%
1.525%5%25%25%
2.515%0%10%5%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets549123
Failed to score325178

Penalties

MetricLeccoTriestina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLeccoTriestina
Wins42
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-15-21-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-23-1
Goals For5252
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricLeccoTriestina
Form57%43%
Att31%69%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lecco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 1.53 (league 1.26), Triestina = 0.20 (league 0.98)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 17.7% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 5 , vtd1