Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Briamasco
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.29) 0.92 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 30.6% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 13.4% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrentoNovara
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack89%56%
Defense56%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trento Novara
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins45%20%33%18%10%14%
Draws36%50%43%55%80%67%
Loses18%30%24%27%10%19%

Form: Trento: WLDDLDDDWDDWWDLLWDWWL • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Trento Novara
HATHAT
GF total15132881018
GF avg1.41.31.30.71.00.9
GA total101323111021
GA avg0.91.31.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrentoNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%71%67%67%
1.538%33%19%24%
2.514%5%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrentoNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets426347
Failed to score314437

Penalties

MetricTrentoNovara
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricTrentoNovara
Wins22
Draws34
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-10-33-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricTrentoNovara
Form71%29%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Trento or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trento = 1.09 (league 1.29), Novara = 0.92 (league 0.98)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trento 0 13.4% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 30.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1