Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.29) 0.61 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 37.5% 25.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 23.9% 14.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraPro Patria
Played55
Form27%0%
Attack40%20%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins18%9%14%8%10%9%
Draws55%82%68%33%20%27%
Loses27%9%18%58%70%64%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Novara Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total811199615
GF avg0.71.00.90.80.60.7
GA total111122231538
GA avg1.01.01.01.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%45%82%
1.518%23%18%64%
2.50%9%5%23%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score4377512

Penalties

MetricNovaraPro Patria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNovaraPro Patria
Wins21
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-10-1
Biggest losses0-33-20-43-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricNovaraPro Patria
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Novara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away4.50 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.82 (league 1.29), Pro Patria = 0.61 (league 0.98)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 23.9% 14.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1