Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Nereo Rocco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.26) 0.98 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 23.5% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 6.5% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.3% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTriestinaLumezzane
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack60%50%
Defense30%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Triestina Lumezzane
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins40%8%23%27%36%32%
Draws40%17%27%45%27%36%
Loses20%75%50%27%36%32%

Form: Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLLLL • Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Triestina Lumezzane
HATHAT
GF total17421141024
GF avg1.70.31.01.30.91.1
GA total111425121426
GA avg1.11.21.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTriestinaLumezzane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%86%77%64%
1.523%23%23%32%
2.59%5%9%14%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTriestinaLumezzane
HATHAT
Clean sheets123358
Failed to score1910145

Penalties

MetricTriestinaLumezzane
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTriestinaLumezzane
Wins22
Draws24
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-12-35-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricTriestinaLumezzane
Form25%75%
Att55%45%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Triestina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 1.76 (league 1.26), Lumezzane = 0.98 (league 1.01)

Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 6.5% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.3% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1