Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Nereo Rocco
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.29)
1.01 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.0% | 23.9% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lumezzane | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 30% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 40% | 8% | 23% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 75% | 50% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
Form: Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLLLL • Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Triestina | Lumezzane | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 86% | 77% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 23% | 23% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 5% | 9% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Triestina | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Triestina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 1.72 (league 1.29), Lumezzane = 1.01 (league 0.98)
| Lumezzane | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 22.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1