Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.27) 0.91 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 32.3% 32.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 1
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
PRO Vercelli 0 15.7% 14.2% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPRO VercelliNovara
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack36%45%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PRO Vercelli Novara
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins50%18%35%25%9%17%
Draws25%18%22%50%82%65%
Loses25%64%43%25%9%17%

Form: PRO Vercelli: WWLLWLLWLDWLWLWDDLLWLDD • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDW

League goals

Metric PRO Vercelli Novara
HATHAT
GF total141024111122
GF avg1.20.91.00.91.01.0
GA total112233121123
GA avg0.92.01.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePRO VercelliNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%70%70%70%
1.526%43%22%22%
2.513%13%4%9%
3.54%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPRO VercelliNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets617347
Failed to score549437

Penalties

MetricPRO VercelliNovara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPRO VercelliNovara
Wins22
Draws24
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-55-00-33-2
Goals For4332
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricPRO VercelliNovara
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : PRO Vercelli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Dafabet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PRO Vercelli = 0.95 (league 1.27), Novara = 0.91 (league 0.99)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
PRO Vercelli 0 15.7% 14.2% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 32.8%

vtt 26 , vtd1