Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Silvio Piola
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.29)
1.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 29.7% | 64.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.0%
0 - 0
23.2%
0 - 2
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Brescia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novara | 0 | 23.2% | 29.0% | 18.2% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 78% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 8% | 17% | 42% | 67% | 54% |
| Draws | 50% | 75% | 63% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 17% | 21% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
NovaraDDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWL
Union BresciaLWWWWDDDWWWWLDDDLWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novara | Union Brescia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 79% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 21% | 42% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novara | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.2% | 59.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.37 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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