Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 16:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.26) 1.29 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.7% 29.3% 57.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.7%
0 - 0
17.6%
0 - 2
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 17.6% 22.7% 14.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5%
1 7.8% 10.1% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack33%78%
Defense0%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Giana Erminio
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins0%25%13%38%27%33%
Draws67%17%42%23%45%33%
Loses33%58%46%38%27%33%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDWDLLLDL • Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDDDLDWWDWWLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Giana Erminio
HATHAT
GF total91322121123
GF avg0.81.10.90.91.01.0
GA total15183316824
GA avg1.31.51.41.20.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%58%63%
1.521%33%25%29%
2.54%17%8%8%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
HATHAT
Clean sheets224279
Failed to score5385510

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
Wins12
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-34-11-33-1
Goals For2324
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaGiana Erminio
Form14%86%
Att30%70%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Giana Erminio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 0.45 (league 1.26), Giana Erminio = 1.29 (league 1.01)

Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 17.6% 22.7% 14.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5%
1 7.8% 10.1% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.7% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 57.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1