Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 • Tullio Saleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.25) 0.97 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 28.6% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 10.9% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLumezzaneCittadella
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack78%89%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lumezzane Cittadella
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins27%38%33%42%42%42%
Draws45%23%33%33%17%25%
Loses27%38%33%25%42%33%

Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLW • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Lumezzane Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total141327151126
GF avg1.31.01.11.30.91.1
GA total121729111425
GA avg1.11.31.20.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLumezzaneCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%67%71%63%
1.525%33%25%25%
2.58%13%8%13%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLumezzaneCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets358459
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricLumezzaneCittadella
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLumezzaneCittadella
Wins27
Draws42
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-35-00-14-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricLumezzaneCittadella
Form71%29%
Att47%53%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lumezzane or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.25 (league 1.25), Cittadella = 0.97 (league 1.02)

Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 10.9% 10.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1