Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.28) 1.06 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 31.7% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 15.3% 16.2% 8.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.1% 5.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaRenate
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack50%75%
Defense17%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Renate
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins42%43%42%38%46%42%
Draws33%14%23%31%38%35%
Loses25%43%35%31%15%23%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWL • Renate: WDWLDLLDWDLDWLWLDDWWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Cittadella Renate
HATHAT
GF total151328161531
GF avg1.30.91.11.21.21.2
GA total111627121123
GA avg0.91.11.00.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaRenate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%65%81%62%
1.527%23%23%19%
2.58%12%12%8%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaRenate
HATHAT
Clean sheets4595510
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricCittadellaRenate
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCittadellaRenate
Wins73
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-11-33-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaRenate
Form27%73%
Att40%60%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total37.4%62.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Renate

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.82 (league 1.28), Renate = 1.06 (league 1.02)

Renate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 15.3% 16.2% 8.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.1% 5.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1