Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 • Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.25) 1.79 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.0% 18.8% 77.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.3%
0 - 2
22.6%
0 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Union Brescia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 14.2% 25.3% 22.6% 13.4% 6.0% 2.1%
1 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergoletteseUnion Brescia
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack67%50%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Union Brescia
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins17%21%19%46%62%54%
Draws17%43%31%23%38%31%
Loses67%36%50%31%0%15%

Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLLLLDWDLW • Union Brescia: LWWWWDDDWWWWLDDDLWWWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Union Brescia
HATHAT
GF total81523201636
GF avg0.71.10.91.51.21.4
GA total18193711415
GA avg1.51.41.40.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergoletteseUnion Brescia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%85%77%50%
1.523%46%42%8%
2.512%12%12%0%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergoletteseUnion Brescia
HATHAT
Clean sheets2244913
Failed to score7512336

Penalties

MetricPergoletteseUnion Brescia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPergoletteseUnion Brescia
Wins34
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-2—
Goals For3353
Goals Against3321

Model comparison

MetricPergoletteseUnion Brescia
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union Brescia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.66 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 0.17 (league 1.25), Union Brescia = 1.79 (league 1.01)

Union Brescia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 14.2% 25.3% 22.6% 13.4% 6.0% 2.1%
1 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.0% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 77.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1