Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 11:30 •
Stadio Nereo Rocco
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.29)
0.95 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Novara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triestina | 0 | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Triestina | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Triestina | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 50% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 23% | 57% | 75% | 65% |
| Loses | 17% | 79% | 50% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
TriestinaLDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLLLLWLWL
NovaraDDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Triestina | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 22 | 35 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Triestina | Novara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 88% | 65% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 23% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 4% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Triestina | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Triestina | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Triestina | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Triestina | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…