Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.25) 1.35 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 27.6% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Inter U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 9.9% 13.4% 9.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOspitalettoInter U23
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack25%42%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ospitaletto Inter U23
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%15%23%15%62%38%
Draws38%38%38%54%15%35%
Loses31%46%38%31%23%27%

Form: Ospitaletto: LDDLLWLDWLDWLDLDDWWDLWLLDD • Inter U23: DDLWWWWDWDLWLWDLDLLDWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Ospitaletto Inter U23
HATHAT
GF total141125111930
GF avg1.10.81.00.81.51.2
GA total121527121426
GA avg0.91.21.00.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOspitalettoInter U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%73%73%73%
1.523%27%38%19%
2.58%4%4%4%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOspitalettoInter U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score369527

Penalties

MetricOspitalettoInter U23
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricOspitalettoInter U23
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-24-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricOspitalettoInter U23
Form38%62%
Att38%63%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total39.7%60.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Inter U23 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ospitaletto = 0.96 (league 1.25), Inter U23 = 1.35 (league 1.00)

Inter U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 9.9% 13.4% 9.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 45.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1