Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:30 • Carlo Speroni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.27) 2.11 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 19.7% 63.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.2%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 5.0% 10.6% 11.2% 7.8% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.4% 9.4% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaVirtus Verona
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack45%27%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Virtus Verona
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins14%7%11%0%21%11%
Draws29%21%25%57%21%39%
Loses57%71%64%43%57%50%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLL • Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDWDLLLDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Virtus Verona
HATHAT
GF total10112191625
GF avg0.70.80.80.61.10.9
GA total272552172340
GA avg1.91.81.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaVirtus Verona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%82%64%86%
1.521%68%21%36%
2.54%29%4%18%
3.50%7%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaVirtus Verona
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score86147310

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaVirtus Verona
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaVirtus Verona
Wins11
Draws23
Losses93

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1—1-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-34-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaVirtus Verona
Form80%20%
Att63%38%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total51.2%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pro Patria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.88 (league 1.27), Virtus Verona = 2.11 (league 0.99)

Virtus Verona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 5.0% 10.6% 11.2% 7.8% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.4% 9.4% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.0% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 63.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1