Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.25) 0.80 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 25.2% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 9.3% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOspitalettoPro Patria
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack70%70%
Defense40%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ospitaletto Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%20%24%13%7%10%
Draws43%40%41%33%21%28%
Loses29%40%34%53%71%62%

Form: Ospitaletto: LDDLLWLDWLDWLDLDDWWDLWLLDDDWD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Ospitaletto Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total161531121123
GF avg1.11.01.10.80.80.8
GA total141832292554
GA avg1.01.21.11.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOspitalettoPro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%76%52%83%
1.531%31%24%69%
2.57%3%3%28%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOspitalettoPro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score3698614

Penalties

MetricOspitalettoPro Patria
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricOspitalettoPro Patria
Wins21
Draws32
Losses29

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-43-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricOspitalettoPro Patria
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total57.4%42.6%

Advice: Double chance : Ospitaletto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ospitaletto = 1.58 (league 1.25), Pro Patria = 0.80 (league 1.00)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ospitaletto 0 9.3% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 18.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1