Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 17:00 • Tullio Saleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.26) 1.19 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 23.3% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arzignano Valchiampo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 5.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.9% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack60%20%
Defense70%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lumezzane Arzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%33%34%27%29%28%
Draws36%33%34%40%7%24%
Loses29%33%31%33%64%48%

Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWD • Arzignano Valchiampo: WWLDLLDDLLDLWLDWDWWLWLLWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Lumezzane Arzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
GF total191433211738
GF avg1.40.91.11.41.21.3
GA total141832222244
GA avg1.01.21.11.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%62%76%83%
1.524%31%31%52%
2.510%10%14%10%
3.50%3%7%3%
4.50%3%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611325
Failed to score156347

Penalties

MetricLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
Wins22
Draws42
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-5
Biggest losses2-35-01-35-1
Goals For3345
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricLumezzaneArzignano Valchiampo
Form89%11%
Att75%25%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h75%25%
Goals56%44%
Total71.3%28.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lumezzane or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.78 (league 1.26), Arzignano Valchiampo = 1.19 (league 1.01)

Arzignano Valchiampo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 5.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.9% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1