Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.26) 1.07 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 33.7% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 0
22.2%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 22.2% 23.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 10.3% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus VeronaNovara
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack50%70%
Defense10%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Verona Novara
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins0%20%10%27%14%21%
Draws57%27%41%53%71%62%
Loses43%53%48%20%14%17%

Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDWDLLLDLLLDLD • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Virtus Verona Novara
HATHAT
GF total91827161329
GF avg0.61.20.91.10.91.0
GA total172542151328
GA avg1.21.71.41.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus VeronaNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%86%69%69%
1.524%38%24%21%
2.53%17%7%7%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus VeronaNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets224459
Failed to score7310549

Penalties

MetricVirtus VeronaNovara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVirtus VeronaNovara
Wins12
Draws34
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-34-10-33-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricVirtus VeronaNovara
Form18%82%
Att42%58%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 0.43 (league 1.26), Novara = 1.07 (league 1.01)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Verona 0 22.2% 23.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 10.3% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1