Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Ernesto Breda
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.27) 0.36 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 39.6% 15.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.7%
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 29.7% 10.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcioneGiana Erminio
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack30%30%
Defense100%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcione Giana Erminio
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%40%48%40%29%34%
Draws14%20%17%20%36%28%
Loses29%40%34%40%36%38%

Form: Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWWLLWLLLWWLWLWDWWD • Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDDDLDWWDWWLLLWWLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Alcione Giana Erminio
HATHAT
GF total171229131326
GF avg1.20.81.00.90.90.9
GA total61117171229
GA avg0.40.70.61.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcioneGiana Erminio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%52%59%62%
1.524%7%21%28%
2.57%0%7%10%
3.53%0%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcioneGiana Erminio
HATHAT
Clean sheets95143811
Failed to score47116612

Penalties

MetricAlcioneGiana Erminio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlcioneGiana Erminio
Wins22
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-10-4
Biggest losses1-22-01-33-1
Goals For5324
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAlcioneGiana Erminio
Form65%35%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcione or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ 188Bet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcione = 0.85 (league 1.27), Giana Erminio = 0.36 (league 0.99)

Giana Erminio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 29.7% 10.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 39.6% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1