Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.25) 0.89 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 33.4% 34.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 17.3% 15.5% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeccoNovara
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack29%57%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecco Novara
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins50%47%48%25%20%23%
Draws19%33%26%56%67%61%
Loses31%20%26%19%13%16%

Form: Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDWDWWLDLWDDLLW • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Lecco Novara
HATHAT
GF total191736171532
GF avg1.21.11.21.11.01.0
GA total141226161329
GA avg0.90.80.81.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeccoNovara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%58%71%68%
1.523%19%26%19%
2.513%6%6%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeccoNovara
HATHAT
Clean sheets76134610
Failed to score729549

Penalties

MetricLeccoNovara
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLeccoNovara
Wins42
Draws24
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-43-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-2
Goals For5432
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricLeccoNovara
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away3.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecco = 0.86 (league 1.25), Novara = 0.89 (league 1.01)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecco 0 17.3% 15.5% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 34.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1