Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.26) 1.29 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 28.4% 44.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 10.9% 14.0% 9.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.7% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGiana ErminioPergolettese
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Giana Erminio Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%31%34%31%19%25%
Draws19%38%28%13%44%28%
Loses44%31%38%56%38%47%

Form: Giana Erminio: LDWDLLDWDDDLDWWDWWLLLWWLWLLLWDLW • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLLLLDWDLWWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Giana Erminio Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total141529141630
GF avg0.90.90.90.91.00.9
GA total201333212142
GA avg1.30.81.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGiana ErminioPergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%56%84%
1.519%28%28%38%
2.56%13%9%9%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGiana ErminioPergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets3912325
Failed to score66128614

Penalties

MetricGiana ErminioPergolettese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGiana ErminioPergolettese
Wins23
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-12-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-33-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricGiana ErminioPergolettese
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals83%17%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Giana Erminio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Giana Erminio = 0.93 (league 1.26), Pergolettese = 1.29 (league 1.01)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giana Erminio 0 10.9% 14.0% 9.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.7% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 44.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1