Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:30 •
Tullio Saleri
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.26)
1.06 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.0% | 27.3% | 29.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Albinoleffe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 19% | 31% |
| Defense | 81% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 38% | 29% | 33% | 41% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 31% | 41% | 36% | 18% | 44% | 30% |
| Loses | 31% | 29% | 30% | 41% | 31% | 36% |
Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWDLDWD • Albinoleffe: DLLDWWWDLLLLDWLDDLWLWDLWDDWDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 15 | 35 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 61% | 76% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 27% | 42% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lumezzane or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.34 (league 1.26), Albinoleffe = 1.06 (league 1.02)
| Albinoleffe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lumezzane | 0 | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 29.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1