Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:30 • Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.28) 1.28 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 28.7% 45.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 11.6% 14.8% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittadellaLecco
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack41%35%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cittadella Lecco
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%47%45%47%50%48%
Draws38%12%24%24%31%27%
Loses19%41%30%29%19%24%

Form: Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWLWWDDWWL • Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDWDWWLDLWDDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Cittadella Lecco
HATHAT
GF total221840192140
GF avg1.41.11.21.11.31.2
GA total161935141327
GA avg1.01.11.10.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittadellaLecco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%70%70%58%
1.536%24%24%18%
2.59%9%15%6%
3.53%3%9%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittadellaLecco
HATHAT
Clean sheets46108614
Failed to score4598210

Penalties

MetricCittadellaLecco
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricCittadellaLecco
Wins74
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-11-4
Biggest losses0-14-10-33-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCittadellaLecco
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h88%13%
Goals67%33%
Total60.5%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cittadella or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cittadella = 0.88 (league 1.28), Lecco = 1.28 (league 1.02)

Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cittadella 0 11.6% 14.8% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 45.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1