Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 16:30 • Giuseppe Voltini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.28) 0.89 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 30.4% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 13.3% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPergolettesePro Patria
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack31%25%
Defense69%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pergolettese Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%18%24%12%6%9%
Draws13%41%27%35%25%30%
Loses56%41%48%53%69%61%

Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLLLLDWDLWWLWWDLL • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDDLL

League goals

Metric Pergolettese Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total141630141125
GF avg0.90.90.90.80.70.8
GA total212344342660
GA avg1.31.41.32.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePergolettesePro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%85%52%82%
1.527%39%21%64%
2.59%9%3%27%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPergolettesePro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score87158816

Penalties

MetricPergolettesePro Patria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricPergolettesePro Patria
Wins31
Draws23
Losses49

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-43-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricPergolettesePro Patria
Form70%30%
Att56%44%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pergolettese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away5.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 1.13 (league 1.28), Pro Patria = 0.89 (league 1.02)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pergolettese 0 13.3% 11.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1