Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.28) 0.80 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 32.2% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 16.0% 12.8% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraLumezzane
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack54%23%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Lumezzane
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins29%18%24%35%29%32%
Draws53%65%59%35%41%38%
Loses18%18%18%29%29%29%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDDWWDWDDWL • Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Novara Lumezzane
HATHAT
GF total201636211536
GF avg1.20.91.11.20.91.1
GA total161632161935
GA avg0.90.90.90.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraLumezzane
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%76%62%
1.526%21%21%26%
2.59%9%9%9%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraLumezzane
HATHAT
Clean sheets57126713
Failed to score5510268

Penalties

MetricNovaraLumezzane
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricNovaraLumezzane
Wins22
Draws44
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-12-35-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricNovaraLumezzane
Form57%43%
Att70%30%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Novara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away5.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 1.04 (league 1.28), Lumezzane = 0.80 (league 1.02)

Lumezzane
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 16.0% 12.8% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 27.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1