Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 15:30 • AlbinoLeffe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.28) 1.15 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 25.4% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albinoleffe 0 6.8% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.1% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbinoleffePergolettese
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack60%50%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albinoleffe Pergolettese
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins41%24%32%35%18%26%
Draws18%47%32%12%41%26%
Loses41%29%35%53%41%47%

Form: Albinoleffe: DLLDWWWDLLLLDWLDDLWLWDLWDDWDLWWLWD • Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLLLLDWDLWWLWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Albinoleffe Pergolettese
HATHAT
GF total242044161632
GF avg1.41.21.30.90.90.9
GA total222244222345
GA avg1.31.31.31.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbinoleffePergolettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%74%56%85%
1.541%38%29%38%
2.512%12%9%9%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbinoleffePergolettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets369325
Failed to score4488715

Penalties

MetricAlbinoleffePergolettese
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricAlbinoleffePergolettese
Wins33
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-12-3
Biggest losses1-35-20-33-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricAlbinoleffePergolettese
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Albinoleffe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albinoleffe = 1.53 (league 1.28), Pergolettese = 1.15 (league 1.02)

Pergolettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albinoleffe 0 6.8% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.1% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1