Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 12:30 • Carlo Speroni
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.27) 0.78 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 33.6% 28.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 17.8% 13.9% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaTriestina
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack27%100%
Defense27%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Triestina
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins12%6%9%41%6%24%
Draws35%24%29%24%24%24%
Loses53%71%62%35%71%53%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDDLLL • Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWLLLLWLWLLLLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Triestina
HATHAT
GF total14122634741
GF avg0.80.70.82.00.41.2
GA total342862232649
GA avg2.01.61.81.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%82%59%85%
1.521%65%35%35%
2.53%26%12%18%
3.50%9%9%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score881621214

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaTriestina
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaTriestina
Wins12
Draws32
Losses95

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-01-2
Biggest losses0-43-02-34-0
Goals For3252
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaTriestina
Form29%71%
Att21%79%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Triestina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.94 (league 1.27), Triestina = 0.78 (league 1.02)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 17.8% 13.9% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1