Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 12:30 •
Giuseppe Voltini
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.28)
1.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 25.9% | 39.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus Verona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pergolettese | 0 | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 35% | 17% | 26% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
| Draws | 12% | 39% | 26% | 56% | 24% | 40% |
| Loses | 53% | 44% | 49% | 44% | 59% | 51% |
Form: Pergolettese: LWWWLDLDLDLDLLLDDLLLLDWDLWWLWWDLLWL • Virtus Verona: DLWLDWDDLLDLLLDDDWDLLLDLLLDLDLLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 22 | 26 | 48 | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 86% | 60% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 40% | 23% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 11% | 3% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pergolettese | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Pergolettese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 1.27 (league 1.28), Virtus Verona = 1.41 (league 1.02)
| Virtus Verona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pergolettese | 0 | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 39.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1