Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 12:30 •
Stadio Silvio Piola
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.29)
1.17 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.4% | 28.5% | 36.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Cittadella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novara | 0 | 10.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 47% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 28% | 17% | 22% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Draws | 50% | 61% | 56% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Loses | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
NovaraDDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDDWWDWDDWLLL
CittadellaDWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWLWWDDWWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 19 | 38 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novara | Cittadella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 67% | 75% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 36% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 14% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Betfair
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League standings
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