Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 18:30 •
Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.29)
0.87 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 29.8% | 26.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Novara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ospitaletto | 0 | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 39% | 16% | 27% | 26% | 17% | 22% |
| Draws | 39% | 42% | 41% | 47% | 61% | 54% |
| Loses | 22% | 42% | 32% | 26% | 22% | 24% |
OspitalettoLDDLLWLDWLDWLDLDDWWDLWLLDDDWDDLWDWDWL
NovaraDDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDLDDDWLDDWWDWDDWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 16 | 41 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 23 | 41 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ospitaletto | Novara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 70% | 70% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 24% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 5% | 8% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ BetVictor
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Betano
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League standings
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