Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.24) 1.78 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 22.6% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 3.3% 6.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.6% 8.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGubbioPerugia
Played22
Form67%33%
Attack25%25%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gubbio Perugia
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%100%100%100%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Gubbio: WD • Perugia: DD

League goals

Metric Gubbio Perugia
HATHAT
GF total112022
GF avg1.01.01.00.02.01.0
GA total101022
GA avg1.00.00.50.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGubbioPerugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.50%0%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGubbioPerugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricGubbioPerugia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGubbioPerugia
Wins10
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses
Goals For1102
Goals Against1002

Model comparison

MetricGubbioPerugia
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Gubbio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.96 @ 188Bet
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 1.62 (league 1.24), Perugia = 1.78 (league 1.12)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 3.3% 6.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.6% 8.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1