Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Città di Arezzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.22) 0.23 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 41.9% 9.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
1 - 0
28.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 35.0% 8.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.7% 6.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played44
Form100%33%
Attack57%14%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 22 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%50%

Form: Arezzo: WWWW • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWL

League goals

Metric Arezzo Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total268112
GF avg1.03.02.00.50.50.5
GA total022404
GA avg0.01.00.52.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%50%50%
1.550%25%0%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins41
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For1311
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricArezzoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Arezzo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away9.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.76 @ 188Bet
No1.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 0.82 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.23 (league 1.08)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 35.0% 8.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.7% 6.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1