Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.64 (league 1.24) 2.01 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.2% 13.7% 16.5%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.7%
3 - 1
5.7%
4 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ravenna 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRavennaPerugia
Played44
Form75%25%
Attack57%21%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ravenna Perugia
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%75%
Loses0%50%25%50%0%25%

Form: Ravenna: WLWW • Perugia: DDDL

League goals

Metric Ravenna Perugia
HATHAT
GF total628033
GF avg3.01.02.00.01.50.8
GA total325235
GA avg1.51.01.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRavennaPerugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%50%75%
1.575%25%25%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRavennaPerugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricRavennaPerugia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRavennaPerugia
Wins10
Draws03
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2
Biggest losses1-00-2
Goals For3202
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricRavennaPerugia
Form75%25%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Ravenna and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ravenna = 3.64 (league 1.24), Perugia = 2.01 (league 1.12)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ravenna 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.3% 4.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
4 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1