Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Armando Picchi
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.24)
0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 40.8% | 57.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.0%
0 - 1
34.8%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 39.0% | 34.8% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 67% |
| Attack | 15% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Livorno: WLLL • Ascoli: DWDW
League goals
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Livorno | Ascoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ascoli and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.05 (league 1.24), Ascoli = 0.89 (league 1.12)
| Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 39.0% | 34.8% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.0% · Draw 40.8% · Away win 57.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1