Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Riviera delle Palme
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.22)
0.45 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.8% | 39.5% | 18.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.2%
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Athletic Carpi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sambenedettese | 0 | 28.2% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 42% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Sambenedettese: WDLD • Athletic Carpi: DWDL
League goals
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sambenedettese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.82 (league 1.22), Athletic Carpi = 0.45 (league 1.12)
| Athletic Carpi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sambenedettese | 0 | 28.2% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 39.5% · Away win 18.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1