Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Città di Arezzo
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.22)
0.20 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 59.4% | 12.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
54.9%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Athletic Carpi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 54.9% | 10.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 85% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 100% | 83% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Arezzo: WWWWLW • Athletic Carpi: DWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arezzo | Athletic Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 0.40 (league 1.22), Athletic Carpi = 0.20 (league 1.06)
| Athletic Carpi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 54.9% | 10.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 59.4% · Away win 12.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1