Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.22)
1.78 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 22.0% | 65.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
15.1%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Forli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontedera | 0 | 9.5% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 15% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Pontedera: LLDWLL • Forli: LWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pontedera | Forli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pontedera | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Forli
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 0.57 (league 1.22), Forli = 1.78 (league 1.06)
| Forli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontedera | 0 | 9.5% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 65.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1