Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Renato Curi
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.24)
0.81 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 42.1% | 47.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.9%
0 - 1
28.3%
0 - 2
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pianese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 34.9% | 28.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 23% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Perugia: DDDLLL • Pianese: DLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Perugia | Pianese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Perugia | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 44.4% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pianese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.24 (league 1.24), Pianese = 0.81 (league 1.12)
| Pianese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 34.9% | 28.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 47.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1