Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Tonino Benelli
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.24)
0.50 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.6% | 45.0% | 25.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.6%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gubbio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vis Pesaro | 0 | 34.6% | 17.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
42%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDL • Gubbio: WDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gubbio and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 0.56 (league 1.24), Gubbio = 0.50 (league 1.12)
| Gubbio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vis Pesaro | 0 | 34.6% | 17.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 25.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1