Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.25) 1.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 26.3% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pianese 0 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPianeseLivorno
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack46%8%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pianese Livorno
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%25%33%29%
Draws33%50%43%25%0%14%
Loses67%0%29%50%67%57%

Form: Pianese: DLWDDLW • Livorno: WLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Pianese Livorno
HATHAT
GF total336123
GF avg1.00.80.90.30.70.4
GA total606459
GA avg2.00.00.91.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePianeseLivorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%43%43%57%
1.529%14%0%43%
2.50%14%0%29%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPianeseLivorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets044213
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricPianeseLivorno
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPianeseLivorno
Wins11
Draws20
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-21-00-1
Biggest losses2-40-33-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against4033

Model comparison

MetricPianeseLivorno
Form67%33%
Att86%14%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pianese or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pianese = 1.36 (league 1.25), Livorno = 1.25 (league 1.12)

Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pianese 0 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1